A new Pyongyang-Moscow axis?
According to the US government, Vladimir Putin plans to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong-un in Vladivostok this month. Apparently, he wants Pyongyang to supply Moscow with weapons for its war against Ukraine. European commentators see this as a sign of Russia's weakness and note that it will give North Korea's leadership new leverage.
Harder to keep Kim in check now
The new alliance will further Kim's nuclear ambitions, says Die Presse:
“Experts doubt that Moscow will actually go so far as to supply North Korea with the desired nuclear technology. But the income from the lucrative Russian arms deals alone should help Kim perfect his nuclear programme while he continues to starve his people. ... So far, the US and North Korea's neighbours have looked rather helplessly in Pyongyang's direction. Now it will be almost impossible to restrain North Korea through diplomacy and economic pressure. ... Just the thought of having the Americans he so despises over a barrel will no doubt put the dictator in a good mood when he boards his armoured train for Russia.”
A dangerous quid pro quo
The rapprochement between Putin and Kim Jong-un is worrying, The Irish Times writes:
“The quid pro quo will be expensive, controversial, and a clear breach of international law. At a meeting later this month, ... president Vladimir Putin will ask North Korea's dictator Kim Jong-un for artillery shells and antitank missiles to stock his depleted armoury. In return, on what will be his first foreign trip since 2019, the North Korean leader wants Russian help to build its next generation of defence assets. ... The prospect of such a trade, however, would mark a significant and dangerous escalation of Russia's war efforts and a further undermining of the agreed international isolation of North Korea.”
The West has brought this on itself
Russia's total isolation could have dangerous consequences, writes the pro-government Mandiner:
“This is the price of Russia's total isolation - the unleashing of dangerous regimes. ... Venezuela and Iran are getting stronger because we [in the West] depend on them. North Korea is getting stronger because we forced the Russians to depend on it. What is almost a cliché about Russia and China drawing closer together is not only a risk because of these two powerful countries' shared anti-Western interests. The real danger is that any madman who has a problem with the West could join this axis.”
North Korea dependent on China
Wprost points to the invisible third party in the Russian-North Korean military alliance:
“However, the final decision on North Korean military aid to Moscow must be made in Beijing. Kim Jong-un's regime is completely dependent on China, which often uses North Korea to achieve its strategic goals. This is convenient in that the Politburo in Beijing likes to portray Kim as an unpredictable and uncontrollable madman when in fact he is pursuing exactly the goals set by China.”
An unholy alliance
The Spectator notes that the two partners' goals are clear:
“There appears to be a growing willingness on both sides to admit that their relationship is more than just about ideological camaraderie. The benefits for both sides are clear. For all the regime's ability to evade sanctions, the North Korean economy remains cash strapped. While Moscow, now bereft of friends worldwide, is desperate for weapons to continue its fight against Ukraine. ... The motivations behind Moscow's recent manoeuvres towards Pyongyang - and vice versa - remain predominantly practical. This is an unholy transaction between two rogue states seeking to present a united front against their common nemesis of the United States.”
Pariahs on an equal footing
The roles have reversed since Putin and Kim last saw each other four years ago, notes the Kleine Zeitung:
“If Kim does indeed pay Putin a second visit soon, he will not come as a supplicant, but as a rescuer. Because North Korea not only has the ammunition developed in the Soviet Union, which Russia is running out of after 20 months of war in Ukraine, but unlike China or India, which do not want to risk a further deterioration of their already strained relations with the West, North Korea has nothing to lose here. The war in Ukraine has turned Russia and North Korea into pariahs on an equal footing.”
Putin counting on North Korea
Russia and North Korea are now openly allies, Gazeta Wyborcza concludes:
“In the second year of the war in Ukraine, Russia has stopped pretending it has nothing in common with the global pariah North Korea. It has given up its act and resumed relations with its former client. ... The planned cooperation will not end with munitions, however. The increasing isolation of belligerent Russia has prompted Putin to build up his anti-Western front not only with China but also with North Korea.”
Russia has sunk very low
Russia, supposedly so powerful, has become quite dependent on others, Večernji list observes:
“After 18 months of Russian attacks in Ukraine, it turns out that what Putin touts as 'mighty Russia' has exhausted its own missile arsenal and armoury and is running out of weapons. Moscow is clearly having to beg the North Korean dictator for the weapons and Iranian drones it uses for its daily attacks on Ukrainian civilian targets and infrastructure, and without which Putin's invasion would be in even worse a state than it already is. ... The once mighty Russia is now 'scrabbling around looking for friends and begging North Korea for weapons from the 1960s', noted former British Defence Secretary Ben Wallace.”
Kim is the real war profiteer
For Handelsblatt, the rapprochement is a clear sign of Putin's weakness:
“The Russian president is running out of allies on the sensitive issue of weapons - neither China nor other players want to incur the wrath of the US and its allies by supplying weapons to Russia. North Korea's dictator Kim Jong-un, however, will know how to turn the situation to his advantage. ... The geopolitical impact of this rapprochement over weapons should not be underestimated. Firstly, as the supplicant, Moscow will finally lose its moderating influence on North Korea. Secondly, imports of key weapons components from Russia will make the rogue state even more dangerous. ... This is all bad news for peace - and for the stability China is seeking on its borders.”
Leverage in relations with the US
North Korea's ruler is mainly trying to get Washington's attention, Corriere della Sera suspects:
“It's in Kim's interest to put pressure on Joe Biden to make concessions. The hypothesis of North Korea becoming an ammunitions supplier for the Russian army immediately caught the attention of Washington, which has warned Pyongyang against such a move. Since the breakdown of the dialogue attempted by then president Trump, the US has shown little interest in the North Korea dossier, despite the barrage of missile tests ordered by Kim. North Korea's involvement in the Ukraine crisis could serve to put Kim back on Biden's list of priorities.”